August 15, 2014

Climate change: the null hypothesis


Despite the fact that the globe has not warmed in over a decade the climate change “cause” marches on

United Nation's Climate Change Conference|Photo Credit Flicker
United Nation’s Climate Change Conference | Photo Credit Flickr
One of the reasons I titled my column on climate change “Global warming and common sense” was that when you apply common sense to almost any story or proposition of the global warming narrative it begins to fall apart, it makes no sense.
All you have to do to see how out of whack the narrative is, is to understand the prostitution of what is referred to as the  null hypothesis.
The null hypothesis (H0) is a hypothesis which the researcher tries to disprove, reject or nullify.
The ‘null’ often refers to the common view of something, while the alternative hypothesis is what the researcher really thinks is the cause of a phenomenon.
From the beginning in the global warming narrative this common statistical and scientific practice was turned on its head. The”null” hypothesis when it comes to man-made global warming would be that the warming we were experiencing at the end of the twentieth century was natural. The scientists and activist who blamed the warming on fossil fuel use were proposing the “alternative” hypothesis.
But almost immediately the climate change cult was able to flip this and make their version of man-made the “null” and “natural” climate change the alternative. For proof of this it is no more difficult than reading the charter of the The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which defines its role as:
The role of the IPCC is to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation. IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy, although they may need to deal objectively with scientific, technical and socio-economic factors relevant to the application of particular policies.
This statement which created the IPCC, is from 1988. I am sure that many people have the misconception that the IPCC was established and operates to prove man-made global warming, but that is not the case. The IPCC began with the “null hypothesis” that there was man-made global warming and more importantly that it was a risk. In other words the IPCC was formed with express purpose to inform the world of the dangers of man-made global warming, that is their role.
In addition; all of the IPCC’s multi-national bureaucratic framework is tied into the United Nation, with all its multifaceted agendas and interests. With all of this techno-bureaucratic self-interested coagulation, nature did not have a chance. But nature does not exist or conform to the dictates of multinational organizations despite what lengths they may go to distort nature’s reality.
Consider this statement from the “godfather” of global warming, James Hansen back in 2012
The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade, which we interpret as a combination of natural variability and a slow down in the growth rate of net climate forcing.
That “flat” rate of temperature increase has not changed and in fact most scientists agree that it has been going on much longer. Last year the Economist a publication that previously had taken the alarmist view of global warming admitted, well, the obvious.
Over the past 15 years air temperatures at the Earth’s surface have been flat while greenhouse-gas emissions have continued to soar.
Despite all the “explanations” for this, and there are many, the fact is that the global warming predicted by the climate change cult has not happened. Which leads to this very simple yet vitally important question; If temperatures have remained flat over the past fifteen years or more, what about all the stories over the past decade and a half about the negative effects of global warming on well….everything?
Today (8/15/2014) at least fifteen years after scientists admit temperatures stopped rising, I read at CNBC -“Is climate change key to the spread of Ebola?” Now common sense would answer obviously not since global warming stopped or to use the cult’s terminology “paused” when Bill Clinton was president but here we are told.
Some scientists believe global warming—and the subsequent increase in extreme weather—could be a factor behind in the virus’s ascendance.
Who are these scientists? Don’t they read the Economist?
If there has been no global warming  than all the dire events blamed on it are either total fabrications or the result of some other cause, like nature. Consider this from the once prestigious National Geographic titled; “Effects of Global Warming Signs Are Everywhere.”
Well when you attribute everything to something that is not actually happening, then I guess you can find signs everywhere, can’t you? They go on an alarmist tangent about all that is happening to our world while temperatures have been “flat” for over a decade.
The planet is warming, from North Pole to South Pole, and everywhere in between. Globally, the mercury is already up more than 1 degree Fahrenheit (0.8 degree Celsius), and even more in sensitive polar regions. And the effects of rising temperatures aren’t waiting for some far-flung future. They’re happening right now. Signs are appearing all over, and some of them are surprising. The heat is not only melting glaciers and sea ice, it’s also shifting precipitation patterns and setting animals on the move.
They tell us that some of these things are happening now, among the examples I found interesting was this:
Spruce bark beetles have boomed in Alaska thanks to 20 years of warm summers. The insects have chewed up 4 million acres of spruce trees.
Spruce bark beetles may have boomed in Alaska, but it has nothing to do with global warming, Alaska has cooled over the past 15 years. But you wouldn’t expect the National Geographic to have their facts correct now would you? Not when the narrative is so much more dramatic.
How many stories have you read in the past decade about something being caused by global warming? Hundreds? Thousands? You know all those increased diseases, those endangered species, those droughts, the excessive flooding, the heavier snowfall, more tornadoes , hurricanes. All those thousands upon thousands of article written about what global warming was causing, not in the future but now, those articles are to put it mildly…. bogus.
As bogus as the theory itself.
Now you see the corner the narrative has now been painted into. If the scientific community has to finally admit that temperatures, despite their best efforts to fudge them, have remained flat, then everything they have attributed to “climate change” can not be true.
But unfortunately “climate change” has become the null hypothesis. In fact the very terms “climate change” or “global warming” have taken on new meanings. One automatically assumes that when these terms are used they mean man-made. The fact that there has been no global warming for seventeen years is  irrelevant, climate change meaning man-made is the accepted reality. Society is living within a lie which everyone, even its benefactors, admits is a lie yet we go on as if it is the truth.
Josef Goebbels the NAZI propagandist nailed it when he observed
“It would not be impossible to prove with sufficient repetition and a psychological understanding of the people concerned that a square is in fact a circle. They are mere words, and words can be molded until they clothe ideas and disguise.”
It would seem that with repetition and psychological understanding, the climate cult has been able to manipulate society into believing cold is hot; where bitter winters are the result of global warming and all climatic conditions are the result of man’s burning of fossil fuels. Whatever the change, your modern lifestyle is responsible for it, feel guilt and follow us-sucker.
So ingrained into our educational and popular belief structure is the idea that we are endangering ourselves and the planet through the use of fossil fuels that the human race is willing to ignore reality to expunge ourselves from a false sense of guilt foisted on us by fools pretending to be wise.
Climate projections suggest that, thanks to human activity, we will likely see an increase in extreme weather events, disruptions to agriculture, loss of livelihoods and displacement of people.
Do you believe?
Ignore the pause join our cause!



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