December 26, 2010

Like a twisted pretzel

For some time now the so called scientific community has gone to some lengths to discredit "The Iris Effect" hypothesized by Richard Lindzen of MIT. "The Iris Effect" is a rather simple explanation of what happens when the Earth's oceans heat up for whatever reason
..increased sea surface temperature in the tropics would result in reduced cirrus clouds and thus more infrared radiation leakage from Earth's atmosphere.[1] This suggested infrared radiation leakage was hypothesized to be a negative feedback which would have an overall cooling effect.
Recently so called prestigious climate scientist and institutions joined forces to to repudiate Dr. Lindzen's  most recent published scientific heresy against THE PARTY LINE. This is what the so called "consensus" scientific community does when their ideological induced scientific conclusions are challenged, they gang up and attack the offending person, hypothesis, or thought with a zealotry not seen since the Spanish Inquisitions. Perhaps this phenomena was best explained by Garth Paltridge:

"Basically, the problem is that the research community has gone so far along the path of frightening the life out of the man in the street that to recant publicly even part of the story would massively damage the reputation and political clout of science in general. And so, like corpuscles in the blood, researchers all over the world now rush in overwhelming numbers to repel infection by any idea that threatens the carefully cultivated belief in climatic disaster. "

This strategy has been quite effective over the years, silencing, marginalizing, and demoralizing even the most learned and once respected voices in the scientific community. Stalin would be proud.

But what happens when the alarmist crowd of so called scientist are caught with their pants down? I mean the entire global warming racket is built upon a very simple premise right? The Globe is Warming.

Let us go down memory lane to recount some, shall we?
However, the warming is so far manifesting itself more in winters which are less cold than in much hotter summers. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become "a very rare and exciting event".

"Children just aren't going to know what snow is," he said.
That is a well know portion of a story written in the UK Independent on March 20, 2000 Of course the past three years have been extremely cold and snowy winters for Great Britain and most of Europe, so that few years prediction is not exactly panning out, Lest we be accused of not using the correct time frame, Dr, Viner also said "Heavy snow will return occasionally, but when it does we will be unprepared. We're really going to get caught out. Snow will probably cause chaos in 20 years time," Well he certainly was correct on that one now wasn't he? Great Britain certainly has not been prepared for the cold and snow these past couple of years. Primarily due to buying into the predictions of learned scientist like Dr. Viner.

But England is not alone, do you realize that on December 21 Ireland experienced it's coldest day ever recorded
“At all our stations thus far it has been the coldest December on record,” Mr Fleming said. “Those records in some cases go back to the mid-1850s.”

Speaking at a meeting of the Government’s Severe Weather Co-ordination Committee yesterday, Mr Fleming said a daily maximum temperature of -9.4 degrees was recorded at Ballyhaise, Co Cavan on Tuesday.

“That’s the lowest daily maximum ever recorded in Ireland, which makes it the coldest day ever recorded in Ireland.
This cold and snowy weather is not restricted to our European friends either nor is it a one year event. Last year in Maine we had this:

The coldest temperature ever recorded in Maine, a frigid 50 degrees below zero, was reached when a blast of Arctic air hit New England last month. The record is tied with a thermometer reading from 1933 in Bloomfield, Vermont for the coldest recorded temperature in New England history.

So what is a scientific community to do when they call for less snow and warmer winters that do not come? They twist themselves into pretzels to explain the Earth to fit their preconceived notions. From December 25, 2010 New York Times:

Bundle Up, It’s Global Warming

The author and reputed scientist Judah Cohen then explains much of what I just briefly did, it's been cold and snowy!

..Over the past few weeks, subzero temperatures in Poland claimed 66 lives; snow arrived in Seattle well before the winter solstice, and fell heavily enough in Minneapolis to make the roof of the Metrodome collapse; and last week blizzards closed Europe’s busiest airports in London and Frankfurt for days, stranding holiday travelers. The snow and record cold have invaded the Eastern United States, with more bad weather predicted.
Last winter, too, was exceptionally snowy and cold across the Eastern United States and Eurasia, as were seven of the previous nine winters.
Obviously Dr. Cohen has an explanation for all this even if it ignores Dr. Viner's predictions from a few years previous, and here it is:

Annual cycles like El Niño/Southern Oscillation, solar variability and global ocean currents cannot account for recent winter cooling. And though it is well documented that the earth’s frozen areas are in retreat, evidence of thinning Arctic sea ice does not explain why the world’s major cities are having colder winters.

Of course not, we could not have natural cycles responsible for anything, where would all the grant money come from!

But one phenomenon that may be significant is the way in which seasonal snow cover has continued to increase even as other frozen areas are shrinking. In the past two decades, snow cover has expanded across the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, especially in Siberia, just north of a series of exceptionally high mountain ranges, including the Himalayas, the Tien Shan and the Altai.
I am sure that the reason for this increased snow cover has to do with global warming due to increased evaporation, right?
The high topography of Asia influences the atmosphere in profound ways. The jet stream, a river of fast-flowing air five to seven miles above sea level, bends around Asia’s mountains in a wavelike pattern, much as water in a stream flows around a rock or boulder. The energy from these atmospheric waves, like the energy from a sound wave, propagates both horizontally and vertically.
As global temperatures have warmed and as Arctic sea ice has melted over the past two and a half decades, more moisture has become available to fall as snow over the continents. So the snow cover across Siberia in the fall has steadily increased.
See I was right! Global warming caused evaporation which causes more snow fall- which causes?

The sun’s energy reflects off the bright white snow and escapes back out to space. As a result, the temperature cools. When snow cover is more abundant in Siberia, it creates an unusually large dome of cold air next to the mountains, and this amplifies the standing waves in the atmosphere, just as a bigger rock in a stream increases the size of the waves of water flowing by.

Boy that all sounds vaguely familiar doesn't it? "See the Iris Effect"  This suggested infrared radiation leakage was hypothesized to be a negative feedback which would have an overall cooling effect.

The increased wave energy in the air spreads both horizontally, around the Northern Hemisphere, and vertically, up into the stratosphere and down toward the earth’s surface. In response, the jet stream, instead of flowing predominantly west to east as usual, meanders more north and south. In winter, this change in flow sends warm air north from the subtropical oceans into Alaska and Greenland, but it also pushes cold air south from the Arctic on the east side of the Rockies. Meanwhile, across Eurasia, cold air from Siberia spills south into East Asia and even southwestward into Europe.

That is why the Eastern United States, Northern Europe and East Asia have experienced extraordinarily snowy and cold winters since the turn of this century.
Kind of shoves it to his English peer Dr. Viner doesn't he? But he has succesfully saved the scientific community from embarrassing cold weather. The brilliant Dr.Cohen has hypothesized warm temperatures created a negative feedback which caused  cooling-brilliant, which he himself identifies in himself:

Most forecasts have failed to predict these colder winters, however, because the primary drivers in their models are the oceans, which have been warming even as winters have grown chillier. They have ignored the snow in Siberia

Last week, the British government asked its chief science adviser for an explanation. My advice to him is to look to the east.

Oh yes Judah, you are simply brilliant, applause, applause! Negative feedback, what a concept! But the true brilliance of this piece of pretzel twisting is reserved for the final sentence.

It’s all a snow job by nature. The reality is, we’re freezing not in spite of climate change but because of it.
So to put it simply Global Warming causes Global Cooling. Well that would imply that the Global Climate system is self correcting now wouldn't it? Or as Judah explains to us less sophisticated:
Bundle Up, It’s Global Warming!

This would all be amusing if the scientific community did not "rush in overwhelming numbers to repel infection by any idea that threatens the carefully cultivated belief in climatic disaster. "

Or rush madly out to explain all the inconsistencies in their narrative of doom. A narrative doomed to ultimate disaster by something modern climate scientist seem to ignore-reality.

1 comment:

  1. All these "explanations" of the current series of cold winters would have been more convincing if they had been made BEFORE the event.Then they would have looked like genuine science, rather than hastily cobbled together excuses.

    What the CAGW alarmists need to do to regain any credibility, is to specify just what would falsify their hypothesis. If ANY weather event proves global warming, it is inherently non disprovable, and deserves an intellectual status similar to Santa Claus.