INDIA
These droughts and floods are part of natural climate variability
and do not show any linkage to climate change, human-induced
or otherwise. The IPCC 2007 climate change documents project a
mean temperature increase of about 10C for India in the next thirty
years, while projecting less than 5 percent increase in monsoon
precipitation. Several recent studies have identifi ed a number of
uncertainties in these projections and the future warming of the
earth’s surface is now projected to be only about 10C to 1.50C
over the next 100 years. In any case, the revised projections suggest
only marginal changes in India’s climate over the next thirty years
or more. The possibility of catastrophic future climate change
impacts for India (ex. escalated sea-level rise on east or west coast)
appears to be small at this time.
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