April 5, 2009
Integrity Down the Drain
I received this comment about this post
sealevel.colorado.edu recently downgraded the rate of rise from 3.3mm/year to 3.2mm/year... Not a big thing, but it has been going down now for 3 years...
He has some information on it at his site, but it is in Spanish and I have forgotten the vast majority of my two years of high school Spanish long ago.
As he/she points out it is really not that big of deal accept when you google sea levels in the news, Be my guest or accelerating sea levels and right at the top you'll read this.
Global Warming Accelerates
As sea levels rise faster than expected, political and social catastrophes loom.
Sea levels are rising much faster than expected—perhaps by three feet or more by 2100, according to climate scientists at the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) annual meeting in Chicago in February.
Scientists there also announced that global warming is increasing at a greater rate than the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicted in its 2007 Fourth Assessment report.
For the last 15 years, sea levels, measured by satellite and by gauges in the ocean, rose twice as fast as in the past half century. And Stefan Rahmstorf, an oceanographer at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Change, notes that between 1961 and 2003, sea level has risen 50 percent faster than computer models predicted. Given these results, he said new modeling can’t yet be done “with any confidence......”
Now I can look at the graph
Notice Professor Rahmstorf failed to mention the fact that since 2003 it is an entirely different story. Either he has information that is not available on the above chart or he is flat out being deceitful. I suspect it is the latter, Do you see the deceit of these people? Scary.
I invite you to click on the new link I have posted called "The Greatest Lie Ever?" It is information put out by Nils-Axel Mörner. Who is an expert, retired and has nothing to gain by exposing this, except trying to maintain scientific integrity in the field he loves.
The question you should ask yourself is this; If sea level rise on the official sea level site are being down graded, how can scientist claim they are accelerating? What is their motive? certainly it can not be science.
UPDATE : Reading the statement purported to be from Rahmstorf again I must say I am even more perplexed
"that between 1961 and 2003, sea level has risen 50 percent faster than computer models predicted."
What models predicted what and when? Some computer model prior to 1961 made a projection that was exceeded by 50% ? Or more likely they back-cast a computer to project what should have happened and what actually happened exceeded that projection ? Wouldn't that be a nice slight of hand ?